Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (93-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 38 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 36 | 10-17 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 41 | 11-19 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 29 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter