Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 44 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 39 | 4-21 | 0-6 | 10-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Larry Hughes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 30 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 30 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 27 | 6-14 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Jones * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter