Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | -4.0 | ✗ (30.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +26 (110-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 33 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| George Hill * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Malik Hairston * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 23 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 12 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Barnes * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 32 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Anderson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter