Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (125-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 18-35 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 45 | 23 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith * | 29 | 8-18 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Martin * | 42 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 10-13 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 39 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 34 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Andersen | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter