Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (108-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Johnson * | 42 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 24 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Chris Richard * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Acie Law | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Joe Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Arroyo * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 34 | 8-12 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 8-12 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| James Jones * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter