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2010-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (28.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +29 (111-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Johnson * 28 5-9 1-4 2-2 3 4 3 1 3 13 12 -
Kirk Hinrich * 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 1 6 8 -
Hakim Warrick * 26 2-7 0-0 8-10 1 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
Taj Gibson * 26 6-10 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 0 1 12 10 -
Jannero Pargo * 23 5-12 1-3 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 11 1 -
Brad Miller * 20 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -2 -
Acie Law * 19 4-12 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 9 -1 -
Chris Richard * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 2 1 -
Flip Murray * 17 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Derrick Rose * 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
Joe Alexander * 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Devin Brown 7 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 2 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JJ Redick * 34 2-7 1-4 6-7 6 4 2 1 3 11 14 -
Matt Barnes * 28 5-8 2-3 2-3 4 3 1 0 1 14 13 -
Vince Carter * 26 8-13 2-5 5-5 4 0 0 1 1 23 14 -
Rashard Lewis * 26 3-7 0-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 6 6 -
Jameer Nelson * 24 3-8 2-5 1-2 0 3 0 0 4 9 0 -
Marcin Gortat * 23 3-4 0-0 1-2 11 1 1 2 2 7 16 -
Brandon Bass * 22 4-5 0-0 5-6 8 0 0 2 2 13 16 -
Dwight Howard * 19 4-6 0-0 4-6 6 2 0 2 5 12 11 -
Jason Williams * 14 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 8 4 -
Ryan Anderson 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Anthony Johnson 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter