Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (100-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 42 | 8-23 | 2-11 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 31 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 10-25 | 4-9 | 14-18 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 28 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 40 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 33 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 9 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter