Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 35 | 10-21 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| AJ Price | 9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 37 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 34 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22 | - |
| JR Smith * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Johan Petro | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Malik Allen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter