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2010-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 61.6% 38.4% -2.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (127-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 48 11-19 5-9 4-4 5 11 2 0 7 31 23 -
Anthony Tolliver * 43 7-16 4-8 2-2 7 5 0 1 0 20 17 -
Ronny Turiaf * 36 3-4 0-0 0-2 10 5 0 0 1 6 16 -
Anthony Morrow * 35 8-19 2-6 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 21 6 -
C.J. Watson * 33 5-9 0-1 10-11 4 6 0 0 1 20 20 -
Corey Maggette * 22 6-12 0-0 6-8 7 1 0 0 0 18 14 -
Chris Hunter * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Reggie Williams 6 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Smith * 45 10-15 0-0 9-14 9 5 3 3 2 29 32 -
Al Horford * 37 10-15 0-0 7-9 15 1 0 0 0 27 28 -
Joe Johnson * 37 3-14 0-1 4-5 1 8 1 0 3 10 3 -
Marvin Williams * 36 4-10 0-1 4-4 14 1 2 0 2 12 17 -
Mike Bibby * 32 8-10 7-9 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 23 21 -
Jamal Crawford * 28 5-13 2-6 2-4 2 5 0 0 0 14 8 -
Zaza Pachulia * 10 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 8 8 -
Jeff Teague * 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Maurice Evans 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mario West 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter