Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (114-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 45 | 15-28 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 17 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 44 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 33 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 18 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Josh Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 9-21 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 42 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 41 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 36 | 8-13 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter