Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 6-17 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 27 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 25 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 32 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter