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2010-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +4 (106-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 46 11-20 2-4 8-9 8 4 1 0 2 32 23 -
Carlos Delfino * 40 4-12 1-4 2-2 5 2 3 1 3 11 7 -
Andrew Bogut * 40 5-11 0-0 4-4 9 4 0 4 1 14 19 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 31 3-9 0-1 3-4 8 1 1 0 1 9 9 -
Jerry Stackhouse * 27 7-14 0-2 6-6 4 1 0 0 4 20 7 -
Brandon Jennings * 26 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 1 3 6 -
Luke Ridnour * 26 6-8 1-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 13 11 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Kurt Thomas * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Charlie Bell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Smith * 46 8-13 0-0 6-8 15 6 0 1 5 22 26 -
Joe Johnson * 43 10-26 2-5 2-2 6 4 4 0 3 24 9 -
Marvin Williams * 40 3-5 1-1 0-0 8 2 1 1 0 7 14 -
Al Horford * 38 7-13 0-0 3-3 10 2 1 1 1 17 17 -
Jamal Crawford * 31 3-14 0-2 8-9 2 4 1 0 1 14 6 -
Mike Bibby * 23 2-8 0-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 4 0 -
Zaza Pachulia * 14 1-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 0 0 5 9 -
Maurice Evans * 14 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Jeff Teague * 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Joe Smith * 5 0-1 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter