Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✗ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -23 (71-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Delfino * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| John Salmons * | 30 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Charlie Bell | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Primoz Brezec | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 31 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| James Jones * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter