Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +5 (109-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 30 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 24 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Malik Hairston * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Brooks * | 46 | 13-23 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 44 | 9-24 | 1-6 | 14-14 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 15 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 41 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 41 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 14-14 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Andersen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter