Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (103-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 46 | 15-26 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 24 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 45 | 7-18 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 33 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 42 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 49 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 47 | 11-21 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 42 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 39 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 39 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter