Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (91-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Murphy * | 36 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 26 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Luther Head * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 20 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| AJ Price | 8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Haywood * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-12 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 29 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter