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2010-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (108-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Johnson * 41 12-22 2-3 5-5 5 3 2 0 3 31 16 -
Josh Smith * 38 6-14 0-1 2-7 17 7 2 2 4 14 24 -
Al Horford * 36 10-18 0-0 6-7 11 2 2 0 3 26 20 -
Jamal Crawford * 35 6-15 3-9 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 17 6 -
Marvin Williams * 29 4-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 0 9 6 -
Mike Bibby * 29 1-6 0-2 1-2 2 5 1 0 1 3 4 -
Zaza Pachulia * 12 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 2 2 1 0 -
Jeff Teague * 11 1-3 0-0 1-1 0 4 1 0 0 3 5 -
Mario West * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 45 13-18 1-3 5-5 9 3 1 0 5 32 22 -
Monta Ellis * 40 10-21 2-5 4-6 5 4 2 0 4 26 12 -
Andris Biedrins * 33 2-3 0-0 0-0 13 5 1 2 1 4 21 -
C.J. Watson * 31 6-10 0-0 3-3 2 6 2 0 0 15 15 -
Anthony Morrow * 26 5-13 0-2 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 10 0 -
Devean George * 24 3-6 0-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 7 6 -
Anthony Tolliver * 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 2 0 -
Chris Hunter * 19 5-9 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 2 0 12 11 -

* = starter