Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (109-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 42 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 11-21 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 39 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 38 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 44 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 34 | 9-19 | 0-5 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter