Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +6 (97-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 39 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 32 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 26 | 0-10 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter