Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | -1.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -10 (85-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 39 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 10-24 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 38 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 42 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 10 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcin Gortat | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter