Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (87-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Arroyo * | 43 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 41 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 41 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 39 | 13-25 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 51 | 6-19 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 50 | 7-20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 50 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 50 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 44 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Williams * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sam Young | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter