Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +13 (99-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 9-22 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 4-15 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 31 | 4-16 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 41 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 9-28 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| James Harden * | 31 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter