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2010-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (25.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -27 (78-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jermaine O'Neal * 30 10-15 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 20 11 -
Dwyane Wade * 28 8-16 1-1 7-8 6 6 1 1 4 24 18 -
Udonis Haslem * 24 5-10 0-0 3-3 9 1 0 1 0 13 14 -
Rafer Alston * 24 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 3 5 -
Daequan Cook * 23 4-8 1-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 9 5 -
Quentin Richardson * 23 4-8 1-3 1-2 10 2 1 0 0 10 15 -
Michael Beasley * 21 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 0 12 9 -
Carlos Arroyo * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 0 2 9 -
Dorell Wright * 18 2-4 0-2 1-1 4 2 0 2 3 5 6 -
Joel Anthony 14 0-1 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
Jamaal Magloire 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
James Jones 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Iguodala * 36 5-12 0-4 1-2 3 7 0 1 1 11 9 -
Elton Brand * 34 4-10 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 8 5 -
Thaddeus Young * 29 8-14 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 16 6 -
Allen Iverson * 26 1-7 0-0 2-4 2 2 3 0 1 4 3 -
Samuel Dalembert * 25 4-12 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 1 0 9 8 -
Lou Williams * 24 2-8 0-2 5-5 5 6 2 0 0 9 14 -
Jrue Holiday * 23 4-8 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 9 7 -
Marreese Speights * 14 2-8 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 1 0 4 1 -
Willie Green * 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Rodney Carney 19 1-5 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter