Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | +1.0 | ✗ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -19 (92-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 33 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 20 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Michael Finley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 8-10 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 32 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| JR Smith * | 23 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joey Graham | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Johan Petro | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter