Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -18 (76-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 22 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 21 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 44 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 44 | 7-21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mario West | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter