Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +4 (95-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 7-21 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 37 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 30 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 21 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Rose * | 43 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 39 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| John Salmons * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Chris Richard * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter