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2010-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 70.9% 29.1% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -13 (113-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chauncey Billups * 40 12-20 9-13 6-8 4 8 1 0 2 39 30 -
Kenyon Martin * 38 5-16 0-1 1-3 12 3 3 1 2 11 12 -
Arron Afflalo * 34 4-7 2-3 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 11 8 -
JR Smith * 34 11-17 3-4 2-2 4 4 1 0 4 27 15 -
Nene Hilario * 31 6-10 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 1 2 14 10 -
Chris Andersen * 26 3-4 0-0 1-1 15 1 0 2 0 7 21 -
Ty Lawson * 19 5-6 1-1 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 13 11 -
Joey Graham * 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 4 1 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 39 11-22 4-8 7-8 9 0 1 0 5 33 16 -
Pau Gasol * 38 8-17 0-1 1-2 17 6 0 2 2 17 23 -
Metta World Peace * 30 3-9 2-4 4-4 3 4 2 0 1 12 11 -
Andrew Bynum * 27 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 10 9 -
Derek Fisher * 24 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 4 0 -
Lamar Odom * 24 3-7 1-2 3-4 5 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
Shannon Brown * 22 6-12 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 13 6 -
Jordan Farmar * 16 3-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 6 5 -
Sasha Vujacic 11 1-6 0-5 2-2 1 2 2 0 0 4 3 -
Josh Powell 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter