Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +16 (102-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 41 | 9-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 11-26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 17-21 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 33 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 21 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jawad Williams * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Danny Green * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter