Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Richardson * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 31 | 6-20 | 0-6 | 9-12 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Delfino * | 40 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 37 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 15 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Jodie Meeks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter