Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +18 (104-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 34 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 27 | 6-17 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mario West * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Teague | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 40 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 11-18 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 36 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 17 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Marcin Gortat | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter