Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -27 (65-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 24 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| James Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 33 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Daye | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter