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2010-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 38 5-11 0-0 9-10 5 0 0 2 1 19 14 -
Jason Kidd * 37 5-10 3-6 0-0 4 6 2 0 4 13 11 -
Shawn Marion * 36 6-14 0-1 3-4 8 3 0 0 0 15 12 -
Jason Terry * 36 8-15 1-5 4-4 2 5 2 2 2 21 15 -
Erick Dampier * 23 5-6 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 12 13 -
Josh Howard * 21 3-10 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 2 7 2 -
J.J. Barea * 21 4-5 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
Drew Gooden * 21 4-8 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 8 5 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steve Nash * 34 7-11 3-3 2-2 4 11 0 0 2 19 21 -
Grant Hill * 31 2-4 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 2 7 7 -
Channing Frye * 28 2-5 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
Jason Richardson * 28 8-14 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 17 8 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 26 7-13 0-0 8-10 1 1 1 1 5 22 8 -
Jared Dudley * 23 2-5 1-3 3-4 6 5 2 0 1 8 15 -
Robin Lopez * 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
Lou Amundson * 18 5-7 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 2 2 12 8 -
Goran Dragic * 15 4-6 2-3 3-4 1 2 0 0 1 13 9 -
Earl Clark * 11 1-3 1-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter