Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (105-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 15-26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mario West | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Randolph Morris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 5-20 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 35 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter