Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +8 (111-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 13-25 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 39 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 38 | 4-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Jones * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 36 | 13-19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 24 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 20 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter