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2010-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (104-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 45 7-10 2-2 4-7 7 2 0 2 1 20 20 -
Stephen Jackson * 40 7-16 1-4 7-8 2 4 1 0 3 22 10 -
Boris Diaw * 36 6-12 1-3 0-0 5 4 0 1 4 13 7 -
Raymond Felton * 29 2-8 1-3 1-2 3 9 2 1 2 6 11 -
Flip Murray * 23 5-9 0-0 3-5 5 0 0 1 1 13 9 -
Nazr Mohammed * 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
DeSagana Diop * 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
D.J. Augustin * 11 0-4 0-1 3-4 0 3 1 0 1 3 2 -
Derrick Brown * 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Stephen Graham 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Gerald Henderson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Acie Law 2 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 4 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nene Hilario * 37 5-14 0-0 7-8 5 1 4 0 2 17 11 -
Arron Afflalo * 36 9-11 6-7 0-0 2 7 1 0 0 24 23 -
Chauncey Billups * 35 7-15 1-3 12-13 6 11 1 0 2 27 28 -
Joey Graham * 28 6-11 1-2 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
JR Smith * 27 5-14 2-9 0-0 6 3 2 1 1 12 9 -
Malik Allen * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 0 1 -
Chris Andersen * 19 0-1 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 5 1 3 13 -
Ty Lawson * 16 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
Kenyon Martin * 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
Johan Petro 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter