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2010-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (99-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 44 9-14 0-0 9-11 15 3 0 6 4 27 33 -
Rashard Lewis * 37 6-16 4-8 3-3 5 3 2 0 3 19 10 -
Vince Carter * 32 6-15 1-6 2-2 3 3 2 1 0 15 9 -
Matt Barnes * 27 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 0 4 -
Jameer Nelson * 26 4-8 2-4 1-1 4 1 1 0 6 11 3 -
Jason Williams * 21 3-7 2-6 0-1 1 4 0 0 1 8 5 -
Mickael Pietrus * 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 -
JJ Redick * 16 4-6 3-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 11 7 -
Ryan Anderson * 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Brandon Bass * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Marcin Gortat 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.J. Mayo * 43 7-15 2-4 4-5 7 3 1 0 2 20 14 -
Rudy Gay * 40 7-17 1-3 0-2 3 1 1 0 3 15 0 -
Zach Randolph * 40 9-21 1-1 4-5 19 3 0 0 1 23 23 -
Marc Gasol * 40 5-8 0-0 9-13 8 3 4 3 4 19 25 -
Mike Conley * 35 6-10 2-3 0-0 1 7 2 0 3 14 11 -
Jamaal Tinsley * 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Sam Young * 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
DeMarre Carroll * 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter