Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +31 (115-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Spencer Hawes * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jon Brockman * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 11-15 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| James Jones | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter