Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -7 (109-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Brooks * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 30 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| David Andersen * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| George Hill * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 15-21 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 29 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter