Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -24 (88-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 12-19 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 22 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Jones | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 28 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nick Young * | 16 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dominic McGuire | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter