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2010-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% -
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -5 (118-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmelo Anthony * 46 7-22 0-0 9-11 4 4 3 1 5 23 8 -
Kenyon Martin * 41 5-10 0-0 1-4 14 3 0 1 2 11 17 -
Nene Hilario * 39 6-8 0-0 7-12 12 0 0 2 4 19 21 -
Chauncey Billups * 38 11-19 6-9 9-11 8 8 0 0 2 37 32 -
JR Smith * 33 6-15 2-6 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 14 8 -
Arron Afflalo * 24 5-7 1-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 12 11 -
Chris Andersen * 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Ty Lawson * 16 1-5 0-1 3-3 2 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Malik Allen * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monta Ellis * 53 12-28 3-7 12-16 6 10 0 0 3 39 24 -
Stephen Curry * 48 6-17 3-8 0-0 3 6 1 0 3 15 5 -
Corey Maggette * 40 10-18 1-3 12-12 9 6 0 0 5 33 25 -
Devean George * 39 4-10 1-4 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 9 4 -
Andris Biedrins * 31 2-4 0-0 0-0 13 4 0 3 0 4 20 -
Chris Hunter * 21 4-7 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 9 9 -
Cartier Martin * 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
Anthony Tolliver * 15 1-6 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter