Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +11 (109-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Watson * | 40 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 38 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| AJ Price * | 14 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Solomon Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 38 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 26 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 16-24 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter