Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (41.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +39 (104-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 31 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 15 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 26 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Acie Law | 8 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
* = starter