Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +30 (113-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Rush * | 36 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 31 | 2-16 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| AJ Price * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Solomon Jones * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Travis Diener | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 39 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 31 | 12-20 | 4-6 | 4-8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 32 | 19 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter