Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +22 (110-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| James Singleton * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Carroll | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Quinton Ross | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 34 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 23 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Antoine Wright * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Patrick O'Bryant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter