Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +18 (98-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 39 | 13-24 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Green * | 43 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 14-18 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 28 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| James Harden * | 21 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Byron Mullens | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter