Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -9 (106-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 15-24 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 26 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 34 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 24 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Brooks * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 21 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| David Andersen * | 17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
* = starter