Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +16 (92-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 20 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Haislip | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Theo Ratliff | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Antonio McDyess | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Wallace * | 42 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 36 | 10-14 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 25 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Brown * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Acie Law | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter