Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -13 (102-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 15-15 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 32 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 32 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 30 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 44 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 4-8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Cartier Martin * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 30 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Devean George | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Hunter | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Watson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter