Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +18 (115-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Barnes * | 37 | 11-18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 23 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 22 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 29 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| JR Smith * | 23 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Johan Petro | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Joey Graham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Allen | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter