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2010-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (28.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +33 (120-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Richard Hamilton * 31 6-11 1-2 4-6 1 4 0 0 2 17 9 -
Rodney Stuckey * 29 4-11 0-0 3-3 2 5 1 0 2 11 6 -
Jonas Jerebko * 29 6-14 0-3 3-4 9 1 1 0 0 15 12 -
Chris Wilcox * 26 5-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
Kwame Brown * 23 2-3 0-0 1-6 4 1 0 1 1 5 7 -
Charlie Villanueva * 22 1-10 0-3 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
Ben Wallace * 18 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 8 8 -
Austin Daye * 18 3-6 0-0 4-4 6 0 0 1 1 10 10 -
Chucky Atkins * 16 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 5 0 -
DaJuan Summers * 12 0-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Ben Gordon * 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jason Maxiell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 33 6-10 4-6 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 17 14 -
Luol Deng * 32 13-18 1-1 0-1 6 1 0 1 0 27 17 -
Tyrus Thomas * 26 3-6 0-0 1-1 6 1 6 2 0 7 16 -
Joakim Noah * 26 4-6 0-0 8-8 11 4 1 0 1 16 25 -
Derrick Rose * 25 11-13 0-0 0-0 2 9 1 0 2 22 19 -
Taj Gibson * 21 2-5 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 0 2 7 4 -
Jannero Pargo * 18 3-10 1-5 2-2 0 3 0 0 4 9 -2 -
Kirk Hinrich * 17 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 6 7 -
Brad Miller * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
James Johnson * 8 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Lindsey Hunter 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Aaron Gray 7 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter